Photo courtesy ESPN.
This time last week there were several Big East teams who were looking to jump off the bubble and into the “lock” status for an NCAA tournament bid. At least one of those teams has accomplished this feat, as St. John’s heart-stopping last second victory over Pittsburgh surely put them over the top. West Virginia also recorded a much needed victory over streaking Notre Dame, and Cincinnati scored their first major road victory of the season. But where do these teams and another in Marquette fall in this week’s Bubble review? Let’s find out!
BIG EAST LOCKS: Pittsburgh, Notre Dame, Villanova, Syracuse, Georgetown, Louisville, Connecticut, St. John’s
ON THE BUBBLE:
Cincinnati (22-6, 9-6) Current Big East standing: 8 Since start of February: (4-2) Last 10 games: (6-4)
RPI: 35 Strength of schedule: 83
Bubble Status: Almost a lock.
Just two weeks ago this was looking like another season all too familiar to Bearcat Nation. Cincinnati had performed admirably throughout the season and now were just going to close up shop and limp to the finish line…leaving their fans yearning for an elusive NCAA appearance. However, Mick Cronin has clearly instilled some energy in his group and the Bearcats have a rather unusual three game winning streak in the Big East. Also, those wins aren’t just against the likes of Depaul or Providence (OK, one was against Providence in OT) but Cincinnati also took down Louisville at home and then absolutely stunned Georgetown in D.C. last night. Last evening’s road win is more than likely going to put this team in the Big Dance for the first time in years, but Cincy also has UConn and Georgetown coming to town. If the Bearcats can win either one of those games, or both, they will go from just getting in the tournament to a rather impressive seed (I’m thinking a 5 or 6) and that is all a Bearcat fan could ask for!
West Virginia (17-9, 8-6) Current Big East standing: T-8 Since start of February: (3-3) Last 10 games: (5-5)
RPI: 21 Strength of schedule: 4
Bubble Status: Almost a lock.
Following West Virginia’s loss at Syracuse, Coach Bob Huggins raged about his team’s inability to make shots. Who could blame him? The Mountaineers had reached 70 points only twice in their previous 10 games, but a return to Morgantown was all the struggling Eers would need. Huggins’ crew ousted No. 7 Notre Dame at home, 72-58, and nearly placed themselves in the NCAA tournament field. Like Cincinnati, the Mountaineers are currently “on the bubble” but if they make the tournament then expect a seed in the 5-7 range…it is the Big East after all. The last four games of the season will prove pivotal in the seeding process as WVU plays at Pittsburgh tonight, then travels to the scary RAC and finishes the season with home dates against UConn and Louisville. If the Mountaineers can go at least .500 in that stretch, look for this team to move into the “lock” status and staring down a high seed. Not bad for a “rebuilding” year.
Marquette (16-11, 7-7) Current Big East standing: 11 Since start of February: (2-3) Last 10 games: (4-6)
RPI: 69 Strength of schedule: 31
Bubble Status: Squarely on the bubble.
This has been a frustrating year so far for the Marquette Golden Eagles. For one they don’t have a “bad loss” on their schedule (as we investigated last week), but they also have only two or three quality wins. Secondly, Marquette has found the sledding rather tough outside of Milwaukee as they have won only three games away from home (not exactly a figure the NCAA selection committee likes to look at). However, all is not lost, Marquette can still win a big road game tonight at UConn, and two of the last three are at home as well. I’m going to say that if the Golden Eagles can walk out of Connecticut with a victory, plus win at least two of their last three regular season games AND steal one game in the Big East Tourney…then Katy bar the door! The Big East sends 11 teams to the Big Dance!
Standings information courtesy ESPN.com, RPI and SOS courtesy WarrenNolan.com.